Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 4.793524e-05 0.000056 0.000064 0.000074 0.000084 0.000096 0.000109
2025-01-12 3.655484e-05 0.000047 0.000058 0.000072 0.000088 0.000106 0.000127
2025-01-19 2.832881e-05 0.000039 0.000052 0.000069 0.000089 0.000112 0.000141
2025-01-26 2.279054e-05 0.000034 0.000048 0.000067 0.000090 0.000118 0.000153
2025-02-02 1.995881e-05 0.000032 0.000047 0.000068 0.000096 0.000129 0.000172
2025-02-09 1.697105e-05 0.000029 0.000045 0.000068 0.000098 0.000136 0.000186
2025-02-16 1.583404e-05 0.000028 0.000046 0.000071 0.000106 0.000149 0.000208
2025-02-23 1.355340e-05 0.000026 0.000044 0.000071 0.000108 0.000155 0.000220
2025-03-02 1.107677e-05 0.000023 0.000041 0.000068 0.000106 0.000157 0.000227
2025-03-09 9.314396e-06 0.000020 0.000038 0.000066 0.000107 0.000161 0.000237
2025-03-16 7.867683e-06 0.000019 0.000036 0.000065 0.000107 0.000165 0.000246
2025-03-23 6.793987e-06 0.000017 0.000035 0.000064 0.000109 0.000170 0.000258
2025-03-30 5.658908e-06 0.000016 0.000033 0.000064 0.000111 0.000177 0.000273
2025-04-06 4.505861e-06 0.000014 0.000031 0.000062 0.000111 0.000181 0.000284
2025-04-13 3.424470e-06 0.000012 0.000028 0.000059 0.000110 0.000183 0.000291
2025-04-20 2.659080e-06 0.000010 0.000027 0.000058 0.000109 0.000186 0.000301
2025-04-27 2.332303e-06 0.000010 0.000026 0.000059 0.000114 0.000196 0.000322
2025-05-04 1.900116e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000059 0.000116 0.000203 0.000336
2025-05-11 1.801580e-06 0.000009 0.000026 0.000062 0.000123 0.000218 0.000364
2025-05-18 1.443625e-06 0.000008 0.000025 0.000061 0.000125 0.000223 0.000377
2025-05-25 1.046886e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000058 0.000123 0.000224 0.000383
2025-06-01 7.885981e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000057 0.000123 0.000227 0.000393
2025-06-08 5.905546e-07 0.000005 0.000021 0.000056 0.000123 0.000231 0.000404